The Washington Post provides an update on the 2016 electoral map based on the latest polling that shows a Clinton with a distinct advantage over Trump.
According to the Fix’s electoral vote tracker — an amazing tool that marries RealClearPolitics polling averages in swing states with the electoral map — if the election were held today, Hillary Clinton would win 341 electoral votes to Donald Trump’s 197.
Those totals reflect the fact that Trump’s always-narrow path to 270 electoral votes has become a footpath — at best — over the past two weeks or so, dating back to the first presidential debate Sept. 26. Trump has been battered over that time by bad reviews of his debates showings as well as the revelations of lewd sexual talk in a 2005 hot-mic tape. His poll numbers have taken a commensurate hit — both nationally and in swing states. That hit is reflected in our weekly update of the Fix electoral map.
Toss-up (79 electoral votes) Arizona (11)*
North Carolina (15)
Lean Democratic (77 electoral votes)
New Hampshire (4)
New Mexico (5)
Lean Republican (39 electoral votes)
* — indicates a move benefiting Clinton