Florida: In Florida’s Economic Pain, Obama Gains Ground

2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Florida, John McCain

The New York Times has another article and map graphic in their Stateside series examining swing states, this time the focus is on Florida and Obama’s rise in recent polls.

The four most recent polls from late September put Mr. Obama ahead of Mr. McCain by three to eight percentage points, a sharp swing from the previous six weeks, when Mr. McCain led by as much as 10 points.

Also in Mr. Obama’s favor, Florida as of August had 498,000 more registered Democrats than Republicans, up from an advantage of 373,000 four years ago.

And yet, this state has a history of defying electoral math, and the challenge for Mr. Obama remains profound. For one thing, Florida’s population is older than average, a demographic that tends to favor Mr. McCain.