Archive for the ‘Predictions’ Category
2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-7-2008
Only four weeks until election day and recent polling suggests Barack Obama would win in a landslide if the election was held today. John McCain’s now finds himself having to defend many states that went for Bush in 2004, including Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, New Mexico, North Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana. It [...]
2008 Senate Election Predictions as of 10-5-2008
The democrats appear poised to pick up at least 5 Senate seats currently held by the republicans without losing any. There are also 2 tossups currently held by republicans, Wicker in Mississippi and Dole in North Carolina.
FiveThirtyEight.com, CQ Politics and Electoral Vote all have recent analysis of polls and predictions.
FiveThirtyEight.com (as of 10/4)
Electoral-Vote.com [...]
2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-3-2008
32 days until election day Senator Barack Obama appears poised to change the electoral map and has several routes to 270 electoral vote. Senator John McCain now finds himself defending traditional Republican states like Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana. The key swing states of 2000 & 2004, including Ohio and Florida, are leaning Obama [...]
TheTakeAway.org has created a great way to track and visualize the various electoral vote predictions from around the web, including Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight, Intrade, the New York Times and many others. Each row represents who’s electoral prediction is being used and the columns represent individual states.
To get started just point you mouse [...]
2008 Electoral Map: 9-30-2008
Five weeks until election day and the electoral map provides Senator Barack Obama several routes to 270 electoral vote. The easiest of which appears to be to hold the 2004 Kerry states and pick up Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado. Senator John McCain has fewer options is now defending Virginia, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, [...]
2008 Electoral Map: 9-23-2008
Six weeks until the presidential election and the electoral map tilts back towards Barack Obama after John McCain brief post-convention lead.
FiveThirtyEight.com :Obama 312, McCain 226
Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 264, McCain 261, Tossup 13
Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 273, McCain 265
Real Clear Politics : Obama 219, McCain 189, Toss Ups 130 | No Toss [...]
2008 Senate Election Predictions as of 9-20-2008
Current polling for the 2008 Senate elections indicate that the democrats will pick up a few seats in November further increasing their majority over the republicans. FiveThirtyEight.com and CQ Politics are both projecting the democrats picking up 5 senate seats currently held by republicans. The senate would be composed of 54 Democrats, 44 [...]
Karl Rove and Co.’s Electoral Map - September 10th 2008
Karl Rove, Bush’s political strategist, has a new electoral map out featured on the LA Times website.
Overall, Obama holds on to 226 electoral votes, while McCain moves up to 200 votes, and 112 votes are a toss-up, a new high in that category. McCain picked up two states from the toss-up column — Montana (3 [...]
Electoral Map Predictions - August 21st 2008
Barack Obama maintains a slight lead over John McCain in recent predictions
FiveThirtyEight.com :Obama 272, McCain 266
Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 264, McCain 261, Tossup 13
Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 288, McCain 250
Real Clear Politics : Obama 228, McCain 191, Toss Ups 87 | No Toss Ups: Obama 264, McCain 274
Pollster.com : Obama 260, McCain 261, [...]
Electoral Map Predictions - June 18th 2008
The websites, FiveThirtyEight.com and Electoral-Vote.com, are dedicated to predicting the electoral vote outcome of the upcoming presidential election and as of June 17th, both have Barack Obama headed for a 317 to 221 electoral vote win against John McCain.
- FiveThirtyEight.com Electoral Vote Prediction
- Electoral-Vote.com Electoral Vote Prediction
