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Archive for the ‘Predictions’ Category


2012 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-6 Election Day

With less than 24 hours until the last vote of the 2012 Presidential election is cast, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected. The polls in swing states show a distinctive advantage for Obama over Romney, which has led to a consensus among poll watchers and statisticians that Obama will be able to get […]

2012 Electoral Map Prediction

With just days to go until the 2012 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected with 303 electoral votes over Mitt Romney. Of the swing states, Obama appears to pick up Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, Virginia, Colorado and New Hampshire. Romney should win Florida and North Carolina, not enough for the 270 electoral […]

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-3-2008

With one day before the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to pull off an upset.

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-28-2008

With less than a week remaining, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to change the momentum of the race in the final days. FiveThirtyEight.com : Obama 351, McCain 187 Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 375, McCain 157, […]

2008 Senate Election Predictions as of 10-27-2008

Polling continues to predict Democratic gains in the senate with a filibuster-proof majority of 60 possible. Latest Senate Polls: New York Times:  53 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents, 4 seats are a toss up Pollster: 55 Democrats, 38 Republicans, 2 Independents, 5 seats are a toss up FiveThirtyEight.com:  57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents CQ […]

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-14-2008

As the campaign for president enters the final three weeks, Barack Obama seems to have an insurmountable lead over John McCain. The electoral map looks so favorable to Obama that Indiana, North Carolina and even North Dakota have listed as toss ups. There are still a few factors that can change the course of the […]

2008 House of Representatives Election Predictions: 10-8-2008

The latest polling on the races in the House of Representatives give the democrats a significant advantage over the republicans. CQ Politics has some maps and data.

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-7-2008

Only four weeks until election day and recent polling suggests Barack Obama would win in a landslide if the election was held today. John McCain’s now finds himself having to defend many states that went for Bush in 2004, including Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Iowa, Virginia, New Mexico, North Carolina, Missouri, and Indiana. It is likely […]

2008 Senate Election Predictions as of 10-5-2008

The democrats appear poised to pick up at least 5 Senate seats currently held by the republicans without losing any. There are also 2 tossups currently held by republicans, Wicker in Mississippi and Dole in North Carolina. FiveThirtyEight.com, CQ Politics and Electoral Vote all have recent analysis of polls and predictions. FiveThirtyEight.com (as of 10/4) […]

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-3-2008

32 days until election day Senator Barack Obama appears poised to change the electoral map and has several routes to 270 electoral vote.  Senator John McCain now finds himself defending traditional Republican states like Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana.  The key swing states of 2000 & 2004, including Ohio and Florida, are leaning Obama […]