Barack Obama’s speech to the Democratic National Convention at Invesco Field in Denver Colorado made several geographic references. For the most part the fall into three groups: personal background, policy matters, and what could be considered pandering. Maps and tag cloud below, as well as full text and video of the speech [...]
Presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee Barack Obama selected fellow Senator Joe Biden of Delaware as his running mate.
Some links to more info about Joe Biden and some reactions to Obama’s choice.
The newest post on key swing states at Real Clear Politics examines Virginia, where Obama hopes to become the first Democrat to carry the state since Johnson in 1964. The large African-American population should help Obama and the large veteran population should help McCain.
Swing State Review: Virginia
Here are five things [...]
The latest post on key swing states at Real Clear Politics examines Colorado, a traditionally Republican state that both Obama and McCain view as a potential swing state in this election.
Swing State Review: Colorado
Here are four things to watch on Election Day.
(1) Metropolitan Denver. Denver is the critical battlefield because it’s so large and sits [...]
With three months until the election, Democratic Senator Barack Obama and Republican Senator John McCain have started to lay the groundwork for their respective strategies for the November presidential election and both have spoken of reshaping the electoral map. The first steps of their general election strategies have been implemented and based on where they are campaigning and advertising it becomes clear what states they believe will decide the election.
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Barack Obama has outlined his electoral map strategy and identified 18 states that his campaign will target. Of the eighteen, four states were won by John Kerry in 2004 (Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin) and fourteen of these states were won by George W. Bush in 2004 (Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Missouri, Nevada, Indiana, North Dakota, North Carolina, Montana, Georgia, and Alaska).
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John McCain has also outlined his electoral map strategy, which is to hold the states that George Bush won in 2004 and go after a Washington, Oregon, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Maine, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota which John Kerry won in 2004. McCain also lists several states that seem to be solidly in his column, including Arizona, Kentucky and West Virginia, but neglects to mention Virginia, which is now widely considered to be a swing state this year.
Barack Obama has opted out of public financing for the general election stating “the public financing of presidential elections, as it exists today, is broken — and the Republican Party apparatus has mastered the art of gaming this broken system” in his USA Today Op-Ed. John McCain will likely try to make this an [...]
The websites, FiveThirtyEight.com and Electoral-Vote.com, are dedicated to predicting the electoral vote outcome of the upcoming presidential election and as of June 17th, both have Barack Obama headed for a 317 to 221 electoral vote win against John McCain.
- FiveThirtyEight.com Electoral Vote Prediction
- Electoral-Vote.com Electoral Vote Prediction
Senator Barack Obama defeated Hillary Clinton to become the Democratic presidential nominee after one of the longest and closest primaries in history. More than 35 million voters took part in this historic election, yet Obama only had a small margin over Clinton (in both delegates and the popular vote).
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Here are a collection of maps highlighting how Obama won. These will no doubt be analyzed in great detail between now and the general election, with John McCain looking to take advantage of Obama’s geographic weaknesses that became apparent during the primary, such as Appalachia and the rural rust belt.
Note: This page is only sporadically updated. Please check the homepage or the news page for more recent predictions
2008 Presidential Election Prediction - 5/22/2008
With the longest and most divisive Democratic primary since 1980, Democratic chances slimmer than the last prediction posted in November. The map below assumes Obama holds all the states Kerry [...]
As of May 22nd, Barack Obama has 1,962 of the 2,025 delegates needed to win and only needs 63 more to be able to declare victory (this may change some after the DNC decides how to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates). Hillary Clinton trails by 187 delegates and does not appear to have any opportunities left to win the required number of delegates to win the nomination.
Senator Barack Obama appears to have clinched the Democratic presidential nomination with his 14 point win in the May 6th North Carolina primary and his narrow loss in Indiana.
Upcoming Primaries
* June 2008 June 1 - Puerto Rico
* June 3 - Montana, South Dakota
