2012 Electoral Map: Barack Obama Wins

Barack Obama wins 2nd term as US President.                          Electoral Votes*               Popular Vote** Barack Obama (D) – 303/332           59,584,661 – 51.1% Mitt Romney    (R) – 206                   56,959,312 – 48.8% *270 Electoral Votes […]


2012 Electoral Map Prediction

With just days to go until the 2012 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected with 303 electoral votes over Mitt Romney. Of the swing states, Obama […]

Barack Obama vs. John McCain: 2008 US Presidential Election

With three months until the election, Democratic Senator Barack Obama and Republican Senator John McCain have started to lay the groundwork for their respective strategies for the November presidential election and both have spoken of reshaping the electoral map. The first steps of their general election strategies have been implemented and based on where they are campaigning and advertising it becomes clear what states they believe will decide the election.
Barack Obama has outlined his electoral map strategy and identified 18 states that his campaign will target. Of the eighteen, four states were won by John Kerry in 2004 (Michigan, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire, and Wisconsin) and fourteen of these states were won by George W. Bush in 2004 (Iowa, New Mexico, Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Florida, Missouri, Nevada, Indiana, North Dakota, North Carolina, Montana, Georgia, and Alaska).
John McCain has also outlined his electoral map strategy, which is to hold the states that George Bush won in 2004 and go after a Washington, Oregon, New Hampshire, Connecticut, Maine, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota which John Kerry won in 2004. McCain also lists several states that seem to be solidly in his column, including Arizona, Kentucky and West Virginia, but neglects to mention Virginia, which is now widely considered to be a swing state this year.

State of the 2008 Democratic Primary

As of May 22nd, Barack Obama has 1,962 of the 2,025 delegates needed to win and only needs 63 more to be able to declare victory (this may change some after the DNC decides how to seat the Florida and Michigan delegates). Hillary Clinton trails by 187 delegates and does not appear to have any opportunities left to win the required number of delegates to win the nomination.

Senator Barack Obama appears to have clinched the Democratic presidential nomination with his 14 point win in the May 6th North Carolina primary and his narrow loss in Indiana.

Upcoming Primaries

* June 2008 June 1 – Puerto Rico
* June 3 – Montana, South Dakota

State of the Democratic Primary – April 23rd 2008

Senator Hillary Clinton won the Pennsylvania primary with 54.6% of the vote to Senator Barack Obama’s 45.4%. Preliminary results show that Clinton will receive 82 delegates and Obama will receive 73 delegates. Barack Obama currently leads with 1,723 delegates and Hillary Clinton follows with 1,592 delegates (according to the A.P. 4/23 ). For those keeping score, the Democratic nominee is determined by which candidate receives 2,025 delegates and Obama’s lead in delegates appears to be insurmountable.
Next to vote:
– May 3rd: Guam (9 delegates)
– May 6th: North Carolina (134 delegates) and Indiana (83 delegates)

State of the Democratic Primary: March 18th 2008

The Democratic primary continues with Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton campaigning heavily in Pennsylvania, the next state to hold its primary on April 22nd. After Pennsylvania votes the only remaining states to hold primaries are Indiana, North Carolina, West Virginia, Kentucky, Oregon, Puerto Rico, Montana, and South Dakota.
Since neither candidate appears able to win enough pledged delegates to clinch the nomination, the Democratic nominee will likely be decided by the Democratic party’s superdelegates and both candidates have been trying to make the case that they are the person best able to defeat the presumptive Republican nominee John McCain.

State of the Democratic Presidential Primary – February 20th 2008

After thirty seven primaries and caucuses in the Democratic presidential race, Barack Obama has emerged as the leader by winning more states and delegates than Hillary Clinton. With 10 back to back wins since Super Tuesday, Barack Obama appears to be the likely Democratic candidate for president. The next primaries will be held on March 4th in Texas, Ohio, Vermont, and Rhode Island, where Hillary Clinton is hoping that wins in the delegate rich states of Ohio and Texas will allow her to regain the lead. Barack Obama has managed to take the delegate lead from Hillary Clinton.
To win the nomination 2,0258 delegates are needed and currently the Associated Press (A.P.) has Barack Obama leading with 1,351 delegates trailed by Hillary Clinton with 1,262 delegates.

State of the Democratic Presidential Primary – February 12th 2008

Thirty two states have held primaries and caucuses, yet Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama remain virtually tied in the Democratic Presidential Primary. To win the nomination 2,0258 delegates are needed and currently the Associated Press (A.P.) has Hillary Clinton leading with 1,147 delegates followed closely by Barack Obama with 1,124 delegates.
States won by each candidate:
* Hillary Clinton: Arkansas, Arizona, California, Florida, Massachusetts, Michigan, Nevada, New Hampshire, New Mexico, New Jersey, New York, Oklahoma, Tennessee
* Barack Obama: Alaska , Alabama, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Georgia, Idaho, Illinois, Iowa, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, South Carolina, Utah, and Washington
Upcoming Elections:
Virginia, Maryland, and Washington DC go to the polls February 12th.

Republican Candidate Search Terms

If Google Searches were Votes in the 2008 Presidential Primaries

If searches for candidates’ names on Google were votes in the presidential primaries then Barack Obama and Mike Huckabee are set to win in Iowa. Nationwide Hillary Clinton is pacing to win the Democratic nomination, while Mike Huckabee and Mitt Romney are in a competitive race for the Republican nomination.

This is based on the relative search volume on google.com and only includes the candidates ranked in the top 4 on slate.com as of 1/1/2008. Ron Paul was excluded for not ranking in the polls, however he has a much higher number of searches for his name than any other candidate.