Political Maps » Electoral College http://politicalmaps.org Political News as told by Maps Wed, 05 Aug 2009 17:36:08 +0000 en hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0.1 How Much Is Your Vote Worth? http://politicalmaps.org/how-much-is-your-vote-worth/ http://politicalmaps.org/how-much-is-your-vote-worth/#comments Mon, 03 Nov 2008 17:13:19 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=1059 Today’s op-ed in the New York Times looks at how the electoral college used to determine the president of the United States disproportionately favors smaller states. For example, 1 electoral vote in Wyoming represents 134,783 voters, while 1 electoral vote in Pennsylvania represents 456,216 votes.

This map shows each state re-sized in proportion to the relative influence of the individual voters who live there. The numbers indicate the total delegates to the Electoral College from each state, and how many eligible voters a single delegate from each state represents.


click map to view full sized version at nytimes.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/how-much-is-your-vote-worth/feed/ 1 2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-14-2008 http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-14-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-14-2008/#comments Wed, 15 Oct 2008 01:54:39 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=935 As the campaign for president enters the final three weeks, Barack Obama seems to have an insurmountable lead over John McCain. The electoral map looks so favorable to Obama that Indiana, North Carolina and even North Dakota have listed as toss ups.

There are still a few factors that can change the course of the race in John McCain’s favor:

  • Final Debate: There is one remaining debate, which offers McCain a final opportunity to change the course of the race. The debate will be focused on the economy, which has not been a strong point for McCain.
  • An “October Surprise”: Anything that takes the focus off of the economy would likely benefit McCain, particularly anything that puts the focus on national security where McCain is still viewed as the stronger leader. past “October Surprises”: wikipedia
  • The “Bradley Effect”: The “Bradley Effect” is a theory used to explain the discrepancy between pre-election polls and the final vote in elections where a black candidate in the leads in polls, but ultimately loses to a white candidate. Nate Silver argues it is no longer relevant, but Sean Oxendine disagrees. more info: Wikipedia | CNN
  • Voter Turn Out: Elections are won with votes not polls. Some of Obama’s strongest support comes from younger voters and it is uncertain that they will turn out to vote any more than in prior elections. Will Obama’s supporters actually show up?

Pollster.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-14-2008/feed/ 0 2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-3-2008 http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-3-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-3-2008/#comments Fri, 03 Oct 2008 07:01:19 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=819 32 days until election day Senator Barack Obama appears poised to change the electoral map and has several routes to 270 electoral vote.  Senator John McCain now finds himself defending traditional Republican states like Colorado, Virginia, North Carolina and Indiana.  The key swing states of 2000 & 2004, including Ohio and Florida, are leaning Obama currently and absolutely critical for McCain to win to have any chance at the White House.  McCain’s best opportunities to pick up a 2004 Kerry state appear to be New Hampshire, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Real Clear Politic: Without Toss Ups and With Toss Ups Labelled



Click for www.electoral-vote.com
Go to electionprojection.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-predictions-10-3-2008/feed/ 0 Track the Electoral College Vote Predictions http://politicalmaps.org/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/ http://politicalmaps.org/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/#comments Wed, 01 Oct 2008 14:11:25 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=801 TheTakeAway.org has created a great way to track and visualize the various electoral vote predictions from around the web, including Real Clear Politics, FiveThirtyEight, Intrade, the New York Times and many others. Each row represents who’s electoral prediction is being used and the columns represent individual states.

To get started just point you mouse at the data table below:

We’ve been looking at the Electoral College prediction maps of the New York Times, Real Clear Politics, Intrade, NPR & the Online Newshour, and many others, and there’s good news for armchair pollsters: Few media prognosticators agree on how the swing states will swing.

We’re not playing the guessing game ourselves — the only poll that really matters is the one on November 4th — but we are curious why certain organizations are going against the grain.

to get a version for your website visit vote2008.thetakeaway.org

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/track-the-electoral-college-vote-predictions/feed/ 4 2008 Electoral Map: 9-30-2008 http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-30-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-30-2008/#comments Tue, 30 Sep 2008 15:54:36 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=781 Five weeks until election day and the electoral map provides Senator Barack Obama several routes to 270 electoral vote. The easiest of which appears to be to hold the 2004 Kerry states and pick up Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado. Senator John McCain has fewer options is now defending Virginia, Nevada, Ohio, Florida, North Carolina and Indiana. McCain’s best opportunities to pick up a 2004 Kerry state appear to be New Hampshire, Minnesota, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

Pollster.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-30-2008/feed/ 1 2008 Electoral Map: 9-23-2008 http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-23-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-23-2008/#comments Tue, 23 Sep 2008 02:13:58 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=747 Six weeks until the presidential election and the electoral map tilts back towards Barack Obama after John McCain brief post-convention lead.

FiveThirtyEight.com
9-232-008 electoral map

Real Clear Politics
Obama 228, McCain 174, Toss Ups 136 | No Toss Ups: Obama 264, McCain 274
9-232-008 electoral map

Pollster.com
9-232-008 electoral map

Electoral-Vote.com
9-232-008 electoral map

Karl Rove’s Electoral Map
9-232-008 electoral map

Princeton Election Consortium

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/2008-electoral-map-9-23-2008/feed/ 6 Karl Rove and Co.’s Electoral Map – September 10th 2008 http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-map-september-10th-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-map-september-10th-2008/#comments Sat, 13 Sep 2008 14:30:32 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=666 Karl Rove, Bush’s political strategist, has a new electoral map out featured on the LA Times website.

Overall, Obama holds on to 226 electoral votes, while McCain moves up to 200 votes, and 112 votes are a toss-up, a new high in that category. McCain picked up two states from the toss-up column — Montana (3 EV) and North Dakota (3 EV), likely putting an end to Obama’s efforts to target these traditionally Republican states.


View the latest map at rove.com/election

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-map-september-10th-2008/feed/ 1 Electoral Map Predictions – August 21st 2008 http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-august-21st-2008/ http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-august-21st-2008/#comments Fri, 22 Aug 2008 02:07:44 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=457 Barack Obama maintains a slight lead over John McCain in recent predictions

FiveThirtyEight.com

Electoral-Vote.com

Princeton Election Consortium

Real Clear Politics
Obama 228, McCain 174, Toss Ups 136 | No Toss Ups: Obama 264, McCain 274


Pollster.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-august-21st-2008/feed/ 0 Karl Rove and Co.’s Electoral Maps http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-maps/ http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-maps/#comments Fri, 23 May 2008 00:11:52 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=415

Karl Rove Electoral Map (11/3/2008)

 

karl rove electoral map 2008 

Karl Rove, Bush’s political strategist, has been sharing these hypothetical electoral maps recently that show the differences in an Obama/McCain election and a Clinton/McCain election.

Hillary Clinton has been touting these as evidence of her electability and was recently quoted as saying “I found some curious support for that position when one of the TV networks released an analysis done by — of all people — Karl Rove, saying that I was the stronger candidate. Somebody got a hold of his analysis and there it is.”

These are based on polling and come from a GOP strategist, so take them with a grain of salt. As always, the Electoral Map has some insightful commentary.

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/karl-rove-and-cos-electoral-maps/feed/ 11 Electoral Map Predictions – April 19th http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-april-19th/ http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-april-19th/#comments Mon, 21 Apr 2008 14:24:55 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=367 Electoral-Vote.com has a preview of the 2008 Electoral Map based on recent polling data. Hillary Clinton currently has the edge over Barack Obama in the contest against John McCain as she has a better chance of winning Florida and Ohio.

With Obama as the nominee, the electoral college at the moment is Obama 260 to McCain 254 with 24 ties. With Hillary Clinton as the nominee, it is Clinton 289 to McCain 239 with 10 ties. Thus for the moment, her argument that she is more electable is true. Her strength is that she wins Florida and Ohio although he offsets this by winning Michigan and Iowa, which she loses. Also, he puts Colorado and North Carolina in play. If Obama were to win Colorado and McCain were to win North Carolina, they would each have 269 electoral votes and the new House would choose the President.

Clinton v. McCain

Obama v. McCain

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-map-predictions-april-19th/feed/ 0 FiveThirtyEight.com http://politicalmaps.org/fivethirtyeightcom/ http://politicalmaps.org/fivethirtyeightcom/#comments Wed, 16 Apr 2008 13:52:51 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/?p=359 FiveThirtyEight.com is a new political blog that has a wealth of information on what the 2008 electoral map will look like in November. 538 represents the total number of presidential electors that make up the United States Electoral College and meet every four years to cast the official votes for President of the United States.

The site uses current state level polling and past voting trends to predict the election outcome for each state and is updated as the political climate shifts. It has taken a unique approach to grouping states into regions that have similar demographics and voting paterns.

Five Thirty Eight

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/fivethirtyeightcom/feed/ 0 Electoral Vote Maps from 270toWin.com http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-vote-maps-from-270towincom/ http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-vote-maps-from-270towincom/#comments Sun, 02 Dec 2007 07:51:58 +0000 admin http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-vote-maps-from-270towincom/ 270toWin.com has a collection of maps showing how the Electoral College has voted by state since 1788.]]> The United States Electoral College is a term used to describe the 538 President Electors who meet every 4 years to cast the electoral votes for President and Vice President of the United States; their votes represent the most important component of the presidential election. 270toWin.com has a collection of maps showing how the Electoral College has voted by state since 1788.

2008 – Uncolored states are undecided and their electoral votes are up for grabs. Colored states lean either Republican or Democratic.

electoral-2008-s.jpg

2004 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-2004-s.jpg

2000 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-2000-s.jpg

1996 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-1996-s.jpg

1992 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-1992-s.jpg

1988 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-1988-s.jpg

1984 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-1984-s.jpg

1980 Electoral Vote Map

electoral-1980-s.jpg

more at 270toWin.com

]]> http://politicalmaps.org/electoral-vote-maps-from-270towincom/feed/ 22