2008 Prediction Map

2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, Features, John McCain, Predictions

Note: Please check the homepage, the news page or a link below for the most recent predictions

2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 5/22/2008

With the longest and most divisive Democratic primary since 1980, Democratic chances slimmer than the last prediction posted in November. The map below assumes Obama holds all the states Kerry won in 2004 except New Hampshire and picks up Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado resulting both McCain and Obama winning 269 electoral votes. A tie would be decided by the House of Representatives should this scenario play out at the polls in November.

2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 11/25/2007

Before the candidates for each party have even been selected, PoliticalMaps.org is predicting the Democrats will win the 2008 Presidential Election by 40 electoral points. The Democratic candidate will win the Presidency by winning all the states John Kerry won in 2004, as well as winning Ohio, Nevada, and New Mexico which voted for President George W. Bush in the 2004 election.
2008 Presidential Election Prediction Mapimage above create using interactive map at www.270towin.com

2016 Electoral Map Predictions: 50 days to the election

2016, 2016 Presidential Campaign, Electoral College, Predictions

There are 50 days before the 2016 Presidential election is settled and Democratic candidate Hillary Clinton remains the favorite over Republican Donald Trump despite recent tightening of the polls. The polls in swing states show a distinctive advantage for Clinton over Trump, which has led to a consensus among poll watchers and statisticians that Clinton will be able to get the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. The only poll that really matters is the one taking place in voting booths (and by mail) across the country, so this isn’t a foregone conclusion and 50 days is a long time in politics.

Five Thirty Eight

538-9-18-2016

FrontLoading HQ

electoral-college-map-2016_09-10

Wang – princeton.edu

ev_map_9182016

electoral-vote.com

electoral-vote-com-9-18

Real Clear Politics

rcp_ev_9-18-2016

New York Times

nyt-9-18-2016

More polls and trackers

Talking Points Memo

Huffington Post

ElectionProjection.com

Votamatic.org

2012 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-6 Election Day

2012, Barack Obama, Mitt Romney, Predictions

With less than 24 hours until the last vote of the 2012 Presidential election is cast, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected. The polls in swing states show a distinctive advantage for Obama over Romney, which has led to a consensus among poll watchers and statisticians that Obama will be able to get the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. The only poll that really matters is the one taking place in voting booths across the country, so this isn’t a foregone conclusion.

Five Thirty Eight – NY Times

Votamatic.org

FrontLoading HQ

Wang – princeton.edu

ElectionProjection.com

electoral-vote.com

DeSart – uvu.edu

Talking Points Memo

Real Clear Politics

Huffington Post

PoliticalMaps.org

The Denver Post has compiled eight people predicting a Romney win, however, it is worth noting that all eight are conservative activist, commentators or have been affiliated with conservative campaigns.

2012 Electoral Map Prediction

2012, Barack Obama, Lead Story, Mitt Romney, Predictions

With just days to go until the 2012 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected with 303 electoral votes over Mitt Romney. Of the swing states, Obama appears to pick up Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, Virginia, Colorado and New Hampshire. Romney should win Florida and North Carolina, not enough for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.
map created on 270towin.com

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-3-2008

2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, John McCain, Predictions

With one day before the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to pull off an upset.


2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-28-2008

2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, John McCain, Predictions

With less than a week remaining, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to change the momentum of the race in the final days.