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2008 Prediction Map

May 22nd, 2008

Note: Please check the homepage, the news page or a link below for the most recent predictions

2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 5/22/2008

With the longest and most divisive Democratic primary since 1980, Democratic chances slimmer than the last prediction posted in November. The map below assumes Obama holds all the states Kerry won in 2004 except New Hampshire and picks up Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado resulting both McCain and Obama winning 269 electoral votes. A tie would be decided by the House of Representatives should this scenario play out at the polls in November.

2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 11/25/2007

Before the candidates for each party have even been selected, PoliticalMaps.org is predicting the Democrats will win the 2008 Presidential Election by 40 electoral points. The Democratic candidate will win the Presidency by winning all the states John Kerry won in 2004, as well as winning Ohio, Nevada, and New Mexico which voted for President George W. Bush in the 2004 election.
2008 Presidential Election Prediction Mapimage above create using interactive map at www.270towin.com

This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008 at 1:12 am and is filed under 2008, House of Representatives, Predictions . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-3-2008

Nov 3rd, 2008

With one day before the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to pull off an upset.


This entry was posted on Monday, November 3rd, 2008 at 12:27 pm and is filed under 2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, John McCain, Predictions . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-28-2008

Oct 28th, 2008

With less than a week remaining, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to change the momentum of the race in the final days.


This entry was posted on Tuesday, October 28th, 2008 at 7:47 am and is filed under 2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Barack Obama, John McCain, Predictions . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

2008 Senate Election Predictions as of 10-27-2008

Oct 27th, 2008

Polling continues to predict Democratic gains in the senate with a filibuster-proof majority of 60 possible.

Latest Senate Polls:

  • New York Times:  53 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents, 4 seats are a toss up
  • Pollster: 55 Democrats, 38 Republicans, 2 Independents, 5 seats are a toss up
  • FiveThirtyEight.com:  57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents
  • CQ Politics: 54 Democrats, 40 Republicans, 2 Independents, 4 seats are a toss up
  • Electoral-Vote.com:  57 Dems  41 Reps  2 Ind.


  • Current Senate: 49 Democrats 49 Republicans 2 Independents (aligned with democrats)
  • Senate Seats up for Election:  35
  • Senators NOT Up for Re-election: 37 Democrats 26 Republicans 2 Independents (aligned with democrats)

2008 Senate Match-ups:

  • AL: Sessions vs Figures
  • AK: Stevens vs Begich
  • CO: Schaffer vs Udall
  • DE: O’Donnell vs Biden
  • GA: Chambliss vs Martin
  • ID: Risch vs LaRocco
  • IL: Sauerberg vs Durbin
  • IA: Reed vs Harkin
  • KS: Roberts vs Slattery
  • KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
  • LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
  • ME: Collins vs Allen
  • MA: Beatty vs Kerry
  • MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
  • MN: Coleman vs Franken
  • MS: Cochran vs Fleming
  • MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
  • MT: Kelleher vs Baucus
  • NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
  • NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
  • NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
  • NM: Pearce vs Udall
  • NC: Dole vs Hagan
  • OK: Inhofe vs Rice
  • OR: Smith vs Merkley
  • RI: Tingle vs Reed
  • SC: Graham vs Conley
  • SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
  • TN: Alexander vs Tuke
  • TX: Cornyn vs Noriega
  • VA: Gilmore vs Warner
  • WV: Wolfe vs Rockefeller
  • WY: Enzi vs Rothfuss
  • WY: Barasso vs Carter

This entry was posted on Monday, October 27th, 2008 at 9:56 pm and is filed under 2008, Predictions, Senate . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 10-14-2008

Oct 14th, 2008

As the campaign for president enters the final three weeks, Barack Obama seems to have an insurmountable lead over John McCain. The electoral map looks so favorable to Obama that Indiana, North Carolina and even North Dakota have listed as toss ups.

There are still a few factors that can change the course of the race in John McCain’s favor:

  • Final Debate: There is one remaining debate, which offers McCain a final opportunity to change the course of the race. The debate will be focused on the economy, which has not been a strong point for McCain.
  • An “October Surprise”: Anything that takes the focus off of the economy would likely benefit McCain, particularly anything that puts the focus on national security where McCain is still viewed as the stronger leader. past “October Surprises”: wikipedia
  • The “Bradley Effect”: The “Bradley Effect” is a theory used to explain the discrepancy between pre-election polls and the final vote in elections where a black candidate in the leads in polls, but ultimately loses to a white candidate. Nate Silver argues it is no longer relevant, but Sean Oxendine disagrees. more info: Wikipedia | CNN
  • Voter Turn Out: Elections are won with votes not polls. Some of Obama’s strongest support comes from younger voters and it is uncertain that they will turn out to vote any more than in prior elections. Will Obama’s supporters actually show up?

Pollster.com

This entry was posted on Tuesday, October 14th, 2008 at 9:54 pm and is filed under 2008, 2008 Presidential Campaign, Electoral College, Predictions . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

2008 House of Representatives Election Predictions: 10-8-2008

Oct 8th, 2008

The latest polling on the races in the House of Representatives give the democrats a significant advantage over the republicans. CQ Politics has some maps and data.

Current House of Representatives Map from CQ Politics

Projected House of Representatives Map

House of Representatives Scorecard

This entry was posted on Wednesday, October 8th, 2008 at 1:12 am and is filed under 2008, House of Representatives, Predictions . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.