2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 5/22/2008
With the longest and most divisive Democratic primary since 1980, Democratic chances slimmer than the last prediction posted in November. The map below assumes Obama holds all the states Kerry won in 2004 except New Hampshire and picks up Iowa, New Mexico, and Colorado resulting both McCain and Obama winning 269 electoral votes. A tie would be decided by the House of Representatives should this scenario play out at the polls in November.
2008 Presidential Election Prediction – 11/25/2007
Before the candidates for each party have even been selected, PoliticalMaps.org is predicting the Democrats will win the 2008 Presidential Election by 40 electoral points. The Democratic candidate will win the Presidency by winning all the states John Kerry won in 2004, as well as winning Ohio, Nevada, and New Mexico which voted for President George W. Bush in the 2004 election.
image above create using interactive map at www.270towin.com
With less than 24 hours until the last vote of the 2012 Presidential election is cast, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected. The polls in swing states show a distinctive advantage for Obama over Romney, which has led to a consensus among poll watchers and statisticians that Obama will be able to get the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency. The only poll that really matters is the one taking place in voting booths across the country, so this isn’t a foregone conclusion.
The Denver Post has compiled eight people predicting a Romney win, however, it is worth noting that all eight are conservative activist, commentators or have been affiliated with conservative campaigns.
With just days to go until the 2012 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears on course to be reelected with 303 electoral votes over Mitt Romney. Of the swing states, Obama appears to pick up Ohio, Iowa, Nevada, Virginia, Colorado and New Hampshire. Romney should win Florida and North Carolina, not enough for the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.
map created on 270towin.com
With one day before the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to pull off an upset.
- FiveThirtyEight.com : Obama 340, McCain 198
- Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 353, McCain 185
- Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 363, McCain 175
- CQ Politics : Obama 311, McCain 160, Toss Ups 67
- Real Clear Politics : Obama 278, McCain 132, Toss Ups 128 | No Toss Ups: Obama 338, McCain 200
- Pollster.com : Obama 311, McCain 142, Toss Ups 85
- Karl Rove : Obama 311, McCain 160, Toss Ups 67
- CNN : Obama 291, McCain 157, Toss Ups90
- Marc Ambinder : Obama 291, McCain 163, Toss Ups 84
With less than a week remaining, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to change the momentum of the race in the final days.
- FiveThirtyEight.com : Obama 351, McCain 187
- Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 375, McCain 157, Toss Ups 6
- Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 351, McCain 187
- CQ Politics : Obama 311, McCain 160, Toss Ups 67
- Real Clear Politics : Obama 306, McCain 157, Toss Ups 74 | No Toss Ups: Obama 365, McCain 163
- Pollster.com : Obama 306, McCain 142, Toss Ups 90
- Karl Rove : Obama 306, McCain 157, Toss Ups 75
- CNN : Obama 277, McCain 174, Toss Ups 87
- Marc Ambinder : Obama 293, McCain 163, Toss Ups 84
Polling continues to predict Democratic gains in the senate with a filibuster-proof majority of 60 possible.
Latest Senate Polls:
- New York Times: 53 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents, 4 seats are a toss up
- Pollster: 55 Democrats, 38 Republicans, 2 Independents, 5 seats are a toss up
- FiveThirtyEight.com: 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, 2 Independents
- CQ Politics: 54 Democrats, 40 Republicans, 2 Independents, 4 seats are a toss up
- Electoral-Vote.com: 57 Dems 41 Reps 2 Ind.
- Current Senate: 49 Democrats 49 Republicans 2 Independents (aligned with democrats)
- Senate Seats up for Election: 35
- Senators NOT Up for Re-election: 37 Democrats 26 Republicans 2 Independents (aligned with democrats)
2008 Senate Match-ups:
- AL: Sessions vs Figures
- AK: Stevens vs Begich
- CO: Schaffer vs Udall
- DE: O’Donnell vs Biden
- GA: Chambliss vs Martin
- ID: Risch vs LaRocco
- IL: Sauerberg vs Durbin
- IA: Reed vs Harkin
- KS: Roberts vs Slattery
- KY: McConnell vs Lunsford
- LA: Kennedy vs Landrieu
- ME: Collins vs Allen
- MA: Beatty vs Kerry
- MI: Hoogendyk vs Levin
- MN: Coleman vs Franken
- MS: Cochran vs Fleming
- MS: Wicker vs Musgrove
- MT: Kelleher vs Baucus
- NE: Johanns vs Kleeb
- NH: Sununu vs Shaheen
- NJ: Zimmer vs Lautenberg
- NM: Pearce vs Udall
- NC: Dole vs Hagan
- OK: Inhofe vs Rice
- OR: Smith vs Merkley
- RI: Tingle vs Reed
- SC: Graham vs Conley
- SD: Dykstra vs Johnson
- TN: Alexander vs Tuke
- TX: Cornyn vs Noriega
- VA: Gilmore vs Warner
- WV: Wolfe vs Rockefeller
- WY: Enzi vs Rothfuss
- WY: Barasso vs Carter