2008 Electoral Map Predictions: 11-3-2008
Nov 3rd, 2008With one day before the 2008 Presidential election, Barack Obama appears headed for an electoral map changing victory over John McCain. McCain now finds himself defending traditional red states and hoping for a way to pull off an upset.
- FiveThirtyEight.com : Obama 340, McCain 198
- Electoral-Vote.com : Obama 353, McCain 185
- Princeton Election Consortium : Obama 363, McCain 175
- CQ Politics : Obama 311, McCain 160, Toss Ups 67
- Real Clear Politics : Obama 278, McCain 132, Toss Ups 128 | No Toss Ups: Obama 338, McCain 200
- Pollster.com : Obama 311, McCain 142, Toss Ups 85
- Karl Rove : Obama 311, McCain 160, Toss Ups 67
- CNN : Obama 291, McCain 157, Toss Ups90
- Marc Ambinder : Obama 291, McCain 163, Toss Ups 84


who will win
It’s tough to say. This map seems pretty flawed and looks to be a “best-case-scenario” kind of deal. While the states colored in yellow very well could go either way, so too could most of the light blues and Pennsylvania, and all of it’s electoral votes, is two colors off in my opinion.
If only one state could be a a “battleground” state, Pennsylvania would be it.
All the reds seem about right, it seems everyone else has pretty much written them off as the shame of our nation too. We can only hope they decide to join society one day.